Brighton v Watford
Safe, as a result of Millwall’s loss the other day, Brighton can kick-off the first of their last two games of the season without worrying where their next point is coming from.
Chris Hughton’s side face Watford Saturday lunchtime and then travel to Boro on the last day of the season and, with both sides fighting for promotion, will hardly be full of confidence. In contrast, Watford have won four straight and most will expect them to add a fifth here – an outcome available at 43/50.
For those in search of value, the free-scoring Hornets are 9/2 to win from a -2 position in addition to 41/10 to win both halves.
Bournemouth v Bolton
A last-minute Sheffield Wednesday equaliser knocked the Cherries off top-spot last week but, thanks to a superior goal difference, Eddie Howe’s men can still seal automatic promotion if they win their remaining games.
That run will begin in earnest here as they welcome an indifferent Bolton side to the Goldsands on Monday night. Wanderers have only won one of their last seven games – as the 21/2 on offer for an away win would suggest – so Bournemouth to win from a -1.5 position is tempting at 5/6.
Rochdale v MK Dons
A point outside the automatic promotion places, MK Dons travel to the Dale at the weekend knowing they need a win if they are to keep the pressure on those above them.
Rochdale meanwhile, will have winning aspirations of their own as they look to make a last-gasp push for a play-off place. However, a loss here would end any hopes they may still have of sneaking into the post-season action.
Despite being away from home the Dons are in form and arrive with seven wins from their last eight games and are 17/20 to extend that run.
Coventry v Crewe
With the two teams hovering dangerously close the relegation zone, Saturday’s match at the Ricoh Arena is somewhat of a must-win for both sides.
Unbeaten in their last four, form suggests that Coventry will have enough to overcome their opponents (an outcome available at 19/25). Crewe meanwhile haven’t won in five attempts and could well find themselves in the relegation zone should they fail to win.
A tetchy affair would surprise few and a half-time draw followed by a home win seems worthy of consideration at 17/5.
Burton v Northampton
Table-toppers Burton need a win at home on Saturday to preserve their two-point lead at the top of League Two.
In their way are a Northampton side only four points off the play-offs who need the three points in order to keep their post-season hopes alive. Jimmy Floyd-Hasselbaink’s side are unbeaten in 10 though and the 63/25 available on them to win by one is likely to tempt a few in addition to a Burton win with under 2.5 goals at 37/10.
Hartlepool v Exeter City
Still harbouring slim hopes of securing a play-off spot, Exeter will fancy their chances when they take the field against Ronnie Moore’s side on Saturday.
Hartlepool won four in succession in March but have since gone five without a win and need to address their form if they are to avoid being caught by the two sides below them.
Should Cheltenham lose to second-placed Shrewsbury and the Pools win, Moore’s side could wrap up their League Two status this weekend and such an eventuality may be worth backing at 121/100 given Exeter’s current three game losing streak.
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